Picture a tree in the forest. The tree "
inhales" carbon dioxide from the
atmosphere, transforming that greenhouse gas into the building materials and energy it needs to grow its branches and leaves.
By removing
carbon dioxide from the
atmosphere, the tree serves as an indispensable "sink," or warehouse, for carbon that, in tandem with
Earth's other trees, plants and the ocean, helps reduce rising levels of
carbon dioxide in the air that contribute to
global warming.
Each year, humans release more than 30-billion tons of
carbon dioxide into the
atmosphere through the burning of fossil fuels for powering vehicles, generating electricity and manufacturing products. Up to five-and-a-half additional tons of
carbon dioxide are released each year by biomass burning, forest fires and land-use practices such as slash-and-burn agriculture. Between 40 and 50 percent of that amount remains in the
atmosphere, according to measurements by about 100 ground-based
carbon dioxide monitoring stations scattered across the globe. Another estimated 30 percent is dissolved into the ocean, the world's largest sink.
But what about the rest? The math doesn't add up. For years,
scientists have sought to find the answer to this mystery. Though
scientists agree the remaining carbon dioxide is also "
inhaled" by
Earth, they have been unable to precisely determine where it is going, what processes are involved, and whether
Earth will continue to absorb it in the future. A new
NASA satellite scheduled to launch in
February 2009 is poised to shed a very bright light on these "
missing" sinks: the
Orbiting Carbon Observatory.
"It's important to make clear that the ‘
missing' sinks aren't really missing, they are just poorly understood," said
Scott Denning, a professor of
atmospheric sciences at Colorado State University in Fort Collins, Colo. "We know the ‘
missing' sinks are terrestrial, land areas where forests, grasslands, crops and soil are absorbing
carbon dioxide. But finding these sinks is like finding a needle in a haystack. It would be great if we could measure how much
carbon every tree, shrub, peat bog or blade of grass takes in, but the world is too big and too diverse and is constantly changing, making such measurements virtually impossible. The solution is not in
measuring carbon in trees. The solution is measuring
carbon in the air."
The
Orbiting Carbon Observatory will do just that: measure
carbon in the air, from
Earth's surface to the top of the
atmosphere.
"
NASA's Orbiting Carbon Observatory satellite will work as a detective from
space, measuring the distribution of
carbon dioxide thousands of times daily as it orbits the
planet, providing the data to create very precise
carbon dioxide maps that will help us confirm the whereabouts, nature and efficiency of the sinks absorbing the 30 percent of
carbon dioxide that disappears each year from the
atmosphere," said
Steve Wofsy, a professor of
atmospheric and
environmental chemistry at Harvard University in Cambridge, Mass., and a co-investigator for the
mission.
Carbon, a chemical element that is the basis of all known life and part of the chemical compound
carbon dioxide, is the basic "
currency" of the carbon cycle. It is "
inhaled" by sinks to fuel photosynthesis in plant life. It is "
exhaled" by natural sources when plant life dies or burns, and through human activities like the burning of fossil fuels, crops and forests.
If we think of
Earth as "
breathing," the balance between photosynthesis, or "
inhaling," and respiration, or "
exhaling," was about equal until humans began mining and burning large amounts of fossilized organic matter like coal, oil and natural gas a couple of hundred years ago.
Until about 1990, most scientists believed land was primarily a source of
carbon dioxide to the
atmosphere because forests are continuously being destroyed by human activities like deforestation in tropical areas, urban and suburban development, and land clearing for farming.
"The amazing truth is that on a global scale, photosynthesis is greater than decomposition and has been for decades," said
Denning. "Believe it or not, plant life is growing faster than it's dying. This means land is a net sink for
carbon dioxide, rather than a net source."
Denning outlined the six different ways
carbon dioxide sinks can develop on land:
--
Carbon dioxide fertilization, a process often prominent in land areas, happens when more carbon dioxide in the air stimulates photosynthesis to produce a temporary "bump" in the growth rates of plant life.
-- Agricultural abandonment occurs where once-deforested land formerly used as family farms is abandoned, allowing forests to re-grow into terrestrial
carbon dioxide sinks.
-- Forest fire suppression, the aggressive extinguishing of forest fires that has led to preservation of more wooded areas than existed 100 years ago, saves trees that pull
carbon dioxide from the air for growth.
-- Woody encroachment occurs when cattle graze on grass but leave behind
carbon dioxide-absorbing woody shrubs that accumulate over land ranges throughout the western U.S. and elsewhere.
-- Boreal, or northern, warming takes place in northern latitude forests that are experiencing longer frost-free growing seasons due to global warming, allowing more woody growth and more absorption of
carbon dioxide.
-- Lastly, carbon dioxide sinks are created when nitrogen in agricultural fertilizer or nitrogen oxide from car emissions dissolves into clouds, spreads for hundreds of miles on vegetation with rainfall, and acts in tandem with
carbon dioxide fertilization to accelerate plant growth.
The
Orbiting Carbon Observatory will help scientists locate and characterize areas experiencing these biological processes.
"The future behavior of
carbon dioxide sinks is one of the most uncertain things in predicting climate in the 21st century," said
Denning. "Mapping today's sinks will allow us to measure how much of the
carbon budget is controlled by carbon dioxide intake from ocean mixing, versus
carbon dioxide fertilization, versus forest re-growth, etc. If we can determine that current land sinks are dominated by
carbon dioxide fertilization, it would buy us more time to develop alternative energy and other mitigation measures."
Past attempts by researchers to measure terrestrial
carbon dioxide were limited by an inability to account for the different ages of forests or how disturbances to the forests have affected their ability to absorb
carbon dioxide. Similar attempts to measure
carbon dioxide in human-managed ecosystems like cropland, pastures, golf courses and suburban landscapes are also difficult because such areas are so varied and numerous.
"We're expecting the to allow us to identify the precise geographic locations of these ‘
missing'
carbon dioxide-absorbing areas as well as the make-up of the sinks and the rate at which they soak up carbon dioxide," said Wofsy. "The efficiency of a sink and its location with respect to that of sources emitting carbon dioxide has critical implications for our ability to regulate
carbon dioxide in global efforts to offset the well-documented global climate warming trend. We're anticipating a big step forward on this front with the
Orbiting Carbon Observatory's help."